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Brazil's Runoff Shock: Bolsonaro's First-Round Lead and the Record-High Rally

Brazil's first-round vote delivered a polling upset, with Flavio Bolsonaro leading Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva 47% to 45% ahead of an October 25 runoff, while the Sao Paulo stock exchange surged to a record high. The rally prices in reform expectations that the country's fiscal arithmetic has not yet cleared.

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